Source link : https://usa-news.biz/2024/10/13/kamala-harris/kamala-harris-plummets-in-new-polls-is-trump-regaining-control/
Shifts in Polling: Kamala Harris Trails Donald Trump as Election Day Approaches
With less than a month remaining until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris appears to be losing momentum, with her once favorable position against former President Donald Trump diminishing according to three harris-or-donald-trump-get-a-state-by-state-analysis-now/” title=”2024 US Presidential Election Polls: Find Out Who’s Leading – Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? Get a State-By-State Analysis Now!”>major polls. This trend has intensified concerns among Democrats who are increasingly apprehensive about the upcoming November elections.
Polling Losses for Harris
A recent poll by NBC News reveals that Harris has experienced a decline of six president-biden-highlights-from-the-post-debate-usa-today-suffolk-poll-revealed-on-mishtalk/” title=”Grim News for President Biden: Highlights from the Post-Debate USA Today-Suffolk Poll Revealed on MishTalk”>percentage points against Trump within just one month. The latest numbers indicate Trump leading slightly at 47% compared to Harris’s 46% among registered voters when factoring in third-party candidates.
This shift is notable considering that just last month, Harris had been ahead with 47%, while Trump garnered only 41% in the same survey.
A Closer National Race
Similar findings emerged from an ABC News/Ipsos poll, which indicates a tightening race nationwide. Although Harris maintains an edge among likely voters at 50% versus Trump’s 48%, this represents a significant decrease from her previous six-point lead of 52% to 46%.
The CBS News/YouGov survey also supports this narrative, showing Harris narrowly ahead at 51%, compared to Trump’s 48%. In battleground states, both candidates are nearly tied at an average of 50% for each.
RealClearPolitics Aggregate Polling Trends
The series of new polling data paints a grim picture for the vice president. Her national lead as reported by RealClearPolitics now stands at merely 1.4 percentage points—a drop from the previous figure of 2.2 points noted on Saturday.
Packing further concern for Democrats is the fact that Trump’s standing has improved on RCP’s no-tossup map concerning swing state competition.
The Road Ahead and Electoral Dynamics
This compilation of polling insights raises alarms not only for Harris but also indicates broader issues within Democratic circles as many experts suggest that she may require a national advantage of five to six percentage points for realistic chances of victory—historically informed by past trends where supporters from Trump’s camp often avoid responding to polls and Republicans generally benefiting from electoral college dynamics.
Even before these recent developments were released, internal Democratic evaluations revealed alarming figures showing loss potential in critical swing states like Wisconsin and Michigan—all vital strategically for determining election outcomes come November.
The Republican Perspective
Minds within GOP circles have honed in on what they perceive as imminent victory chances; many activists seem prepared to celebrate early despite still being weeks away from casting ballots. According to seasoned political commentator Mark Halperin during last week’s “Morning Meeting” segment on program “2WAY,” numerous Republican voices expressed belief that the election might already be decided, while their Democratic counterparts find themselves increasingly anxious over future prospects without equal levels of concern arising across party lines—including events consistently happening at Mar-a-Lago.
Causative Factors Behind Poll Fluctuations
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“In regard to shifting voter sentiments,” – NBC News reported notable decreases specifically surrounding favorability ratings associated with Kamala’s profile among younger demographics and independent factions yielding fairly net-negative reflections showing merely a positive score reflecting only43%, contrasted alongside‌ rising negatives measuring around49%.
Issues Influencing Voter Sentiments: A Snapshot AnalysisEconomic Concerns: As indicated by NBC’s data set revealing support swaying toward Trump (46%) over controls held primarily through economic indexes aligned closer towards unfulfilled goals pushing back against inflation (44 -37%) alongside corresponding immigration strategies trending votes around similar opposition counts targeting shortfalls(46-36%). Keen Focus Areas For Voters: Vice President managed attainment primarily regarding abortion rights(47-32) observing growing preferences directed overall interest visibility monitoring middle-class citizen stakes resulting higher margin population markers gauging responsiveness (%42–32) rightfully captured amid continued advocacy endeavors positioned pledging sound electoral mandates promoting democracy(44 -38 ).
The post Kamala Harris Plummets in New Polls: Is Trump Regaining Control first appeared on USA NEWS.
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Author : Jean-Pierre CHALLOT
Publish date : 2024-10-13 18:19:10
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